InvestMoat

Eli Lilly vs Novo Nordisk

Novo Nordisk is cheaper. So why does Eli Lilly win?

Eli Lilly wins, 73 to 59, on moat and growth.

Novo Nordisk wins on valuation, but Eli Lilly's lead on growth counts for more.

LLY · Healthcare

Eli Lilly and Company

…

HoldFull analysis

NVO · Healthcare

Novo Nordisk

…

AvoidFull analysis

LLY

NVO

Composite
73
(higher)
59
Moat
71
(higher)
54
Growth
81
(higher)
49
Valuation
66
85
(higher)

LLY

NVO

Bear
$850
$34
Base
$1,400
$57
Bull
$2,100
$92
Upside to base
—
—

LLY

NVO

Revenue CAGR, 3–5 yr
15-22%
1–5%

LLY

NVO

Proprietary Data
Intact
Intact
Regulatory Lock-In
Intact
Intact
Network Effects
Intact (higher)
N/A
Transaction Embedding
Intact (higher)
Weakened
System of Record
N/A
N/A
Scale Economics
Strong (higher)
Intact
Brand & Pricing Power
N/A
N/A

LLY

NVO

Learned Interfaces
N/A
N/A
Business Logic
Intact (higher)
N/A
Public Data Access
N/A
N/A
Talent Scarcity
Intact
Intact
Bundling
N/A
Weakened (higher)

Shaded cells mark the higher score or stronger moat on each row. Valuation and composite use the live price when it is available, the same as each stock page.

Which is the better stock, Eli Lilly or Novo Nordisk?

Eli Lilly wins, 73 to 59, on moat and growth. Novo Nordisk wins on valuation, but Eli Lilly's lead on growth counts for more. Our rating: Eli Lilly Hold, Novo Nordisk Avoid.

Does Eli Lilly or Novo Nordisk have the wider moat?

Eli Lilly scores 71 on moat to Novo Nordisk's 54. Eli Lilly is rated stronger on transaction embedding and scale economics.

Which is growing faster, Eli Lilly or Novo Nordisk?

Eli Lilly scores 81 on growth to Novo Nordisk's 49. We expect Eli Lilly to grow 15–22% a year, Novo Nordisk 1–5%.

Is Eli Lilly or Novo Nordisk cheaper right now?

Novo Nordisk scores 85 on valuation to Eli Lilly's 66. In our base case, Novo Nordisk has more upside: +48% vs +2%.

Scores in the answers use the price each valuation was last struck at; the table above updates with the live price. Not investment advice.